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Will Donald Trump's approval rating as US president exceed 40% by the midterm elections (November 2026)?
A poll cited by the Denver Gazette on 08/24/2026 shows Trump's approval at only 33%, an all-time low, with the war in Iran raising… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
A poll cited by the Denver Gazette on 08/24/2026 shows Trump's approval at only 33%, an all-time low, with the war in Iran raising gasoline prices and persistent inflation as the main negative factors.
Source: www.denvergazette.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base na média de aprovação presidencial agregada pelo portal FiveThirtyEight (ou equivalente de referência, como RealClearPolitics) em qualquer momento entre 2026-08-25 e a data das eleições de meio de mandato dos EUA (03/11/2026). O mercado resolve 'Sim' se a média atingir 40% ou mais.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.