World · Open for opinions
Will US inflation (annual CPI) be below 3% by December 2026?
The Fed's credibility is at risk, with US inflation above the 2% target for the fifth consecutive year. 23 opinions, 57% No
- Yes — 43%
- No — 57%
Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 23 opinions
Resolution rules
The Fed's credibility is at risk, with US inflation above the 2% target for the fifth consecutive year. New chairman Kevin Warsh faces political pressure from Trump and global markets attentive to the price trajectory.
Source: www.lemonde.fr
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolver com base na leitura do CPI (Consumer Price Index) anual divulgada pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) dos EUA referente ao mês de novembro de 2026 (publicação prevista para dezembro de 2026). Considera-se 'Sim' se a variação anual do CPI headline for inferior a 3,0%.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.