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Will the US-Iran conflict have a formal ceasefire announced before November 3, 2026?

The US-Iran conflict is ongoing in September 2026, with Trump stating that the conflict will continue beyond the midterm elections. 21 opinions, 52% Yes

  • Yes — 52%
  • No — 48%

Deadline: November 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions

Resolution rules

The US-Iran conflict is ongoing in September 2026, with Trump stating that the conflict will continue beyond the midterm elections. The escalation is driving up global oil prices and fueling inflation in the US.

Source: www.newsweek.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido como 'Sim' se governos dos EUA e do Irã (ou intermediários reconhecidos como ONU ou Qatar) anunciarem formalmente um cessar-fogo ou acordo de cessação de hostilidades antes das 23h59 (ET) de 3 de novembro de 2026, conforme reportagem de ao menos duas agências internacionais de grande porte (Reuters, AP ou AFP). Caso contrário, 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.

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Will the US-Iran conflict have a formal ceasefire announced before… — 52% Yes · VoxFi