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Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates in the US at any meeting by November 2026?

Fed officials have signaled the possibility of raising interest rates amid inflationary pressures, while jobless claims have fallen. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Fed officials have signaled the possibility of raising interest rates amid inflationary pressures, while jobless claims have fallen. Tariffs on Canada and other trading partners could put further pressure on inflation.

Source: apnews.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução como 'Sim' se o Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) votar por aumento da taxa dos fed funds em qualquer reunião oficial até 30 de novembro de 2026. Fonte: comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve após reunião do FOMC.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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