World · Open for opinions
Will the annual US inflation (CPI) fall below 3% by November 2026?
In July 2026, the annual inflation in the US was 3.4%, above the Fed's 2% target. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In July 2026, the annual inflation in the US was 3.4%, above the Fed's 2% target. The conflict with Iran raised energy and food prices, pressuring the index.
Source: www.americanprogress.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o dado oficial do CPI anual divulgado pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) dos EUA, referente a outubro ou novembro de 2026, mostrar variação anual inferior a 3,0%. Fonte: bls.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.