World · Open for opinions
Will US annual PCE inflation exceed 3.5% in the October 2026 data (released in November)?
US PCE inflation accelerated to 3.6% in September (up from 3.4% in August), while core PCE inflation reached 3.1% on an annualized… 87 opinions, 62% Yes
- Yes — 62%
- No — 38%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
US PCE inflation accelerated to 3.6% in September (up from 3.4% in August), while core PCE inflation reached 3.1% on an annualized basis. Energy prices and service expenditures continue to put pressure on the index.
Source: www.theguardian.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
O mercado resolve com base na variação anual do índice PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) para outubro de 2026, divulgada pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) do Departamento de Comércio dos EUA em novembro de 2026. Se a variação anual divulgada for superior a 3,5%, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.