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Will US consumer inflation (CPI) fall below 3% by December 2026?

US inflation is at 3.4%, above the Fed's target, driven by supply shocks in the oil market related to the conflict in Iran and the… 38 opinions, 71% No

  • Yes — 29%
  • No — 71%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 38 opinions

Resolution rules

US inflation is at 3.4%, above the Fed's target, driven by supply shocks in the oil market related to the conflict in Iran and the impact of tariffs.

Source: finance.yahoo.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se o Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) divulgar um índice CPI anual (YoY) inferior a 3,0% em qualquer leitura referente a outubro, novembro ou dezembro de 2026. Resolve 'Não' caso contrário. Fonte: bls.gov.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 71% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 29 points, a wrong one costs about 71.

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Will US consumer inflation (CPI) fall below 3% by December 2026? — 71% No · VoxFi