World · Open for opinions
Will the US PCE inflation index (personal consumption expenditures deflator), measured in September 2026, exceed 3% per year on an annualized reading?
The PCE is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge and is being closely monitored by the market to determine the trajectory of US… 76 opinions, 53% Yes
- Yes — 53%
- No — 47%
Deadline: November 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
The PCE is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge and is being closely monitored by the market to determine the trajectory of US interest rates; analysts point out that inflation remains pressured and widespread across commodity groups and regions.
Source: www.investing.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base na divulgação oficial do Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) do PCE Price Index referente a setembro de 2026 (publicação prevista para fins de outubro/início de novembro de 2026). Se a variação anual do PCE headline for superior a 3,0%, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 53% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 47 points, a wrong one costs about 53.