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Which chamber of the US Congress will Republicans lose in the November 2026 midterms?
Ken Griffin (Citadel) stated that Republicans 'almost certainly' will lose at least one chamber. 82 opinions, 41% House of Representatives
- House of Representatives — 41%
- Senate — 17%
- Both chambers — 13%
- Neither (they keep the majority in both) — 28%
Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 82 opinions
Resolution rules
Ken Griffin (Citadel) stated that Republicans 'almost certainly' will lose at least one chamber. Trump and Vance present diverging narratives on the economy, with voters dissatisfied with inflation and fuel costs.
Source: www.wsls.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base nos resultados oficiais certificados pela Associated Press ou pela Comissão Eleitoral dos EUA após as eleições de novembro de 2026, indicando qual(is) câmara(s) passará(ão) ao controle Democrata ou de terceiros.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now House of Representatives has 41% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 59 points, a wrong one costs about 41.