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Will Republicans lose control of at least one chamber of the US Congress in the November 2026 midterms?

Citadel CEO Ken Griffin predicted on 10/21/2026 that Republicans will almost certainly lose control of at least one chamber, citing… 82 opinions, 71% Yes

  • Yes — 71%
  • No — 29%

Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 82 opinions

Resolution rules

Citadel CEO Ken Griffin predicted on 10/21/2026 that Republicans will almost certainly lose control of at least one chamber, citing inflation, housing costs, and economic hardships as determining factors for voters.

Source: www.businessinsider.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se, após apuração oficial das eleições de meio de mandato de novembro de 2026, Democratas ou terceiros assumirem maioria em pelo menos uma câmara do Congresso (Senado ou Câmara dos Representantes). Fonte: resultados certificados pela Associated Press ou Comissão Eleitoral dos EUA.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 71% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 29 points, a wrong one costs about 71.

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