World · Open for opinions
Will the military conflict between the US and Iran have an official ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Trump called the conflict a 'small war', but analysts warn that the confrontation has no end in sight, complicating global markets… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Trump called the conflict a 'small war', but analysts warn that the confrontation has no end in sight, complicating global markets and US monetary policy.
Source: www.youtube.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada em anúncio oficial reconhecido pelos governos dos EUA e Irã sobre cessação de hostilidades, conforme reportado por Reuters ou Associated Press. Na ausência de tal anúncio até 31/10/2026, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.