World · Open for opinions
Will the US face a federal government shutdown in the first quarter of 2027?
With a divided government starting in January 2027—a Republican Executive and a Democratic Congress—analysts point to a high risk of… 89 opinions, 62% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 62%
Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
With a divided government starting in January 2027—a Republican Executive and a Democratic Congress—analysts point to a high risk of a stalemate over the debt ceiling and government shutdowns.
Source: www.cushmanwakefield.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o governo federal dos Estados Unidos entrar em paralisação (shutdown) por ao menos 24 horas entre 1º de janeiro e 31 de março de 2027, conforme confirmado pelo Office of Management and Budget (OMB) ou cobertura de veículos como Reuters, AP ou NYT. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.