World · Open for opinions
Will WMO issue a bulletin confirming a 'Super El Niño' by 10/31/2026?
Given the alert of exceptional intensity of the phenomenon and impacts in Southeast Asia, the official UN classification is being… 15 opinions, 80% No
- Yes — 20%
- No — 80%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 15 opinions
Resolution rules
Given the alert of exceptional intensity of the phenomenon and impacts in Southeast Asia, the official UN classification is being monitored between 09/03 and 10/31.
Source: www.bbc.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 03/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Organização Meteorológica Mundial (OMM) classificar oficialmente o fenômeno vigente como 'Super El Niño' em relatório ou comunicado até 31/10/2026, no site oficial wmo.int ou via Reuters. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 80% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 20 points, a wrong one costs about 80.