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Will the Federal Reserve raise the benchmark interest rate (fed funds rate) again before December 31, 2026?

New York Fed President John C. 69 opinions, 55% Yes

  • Yes — 55%
  • No — 45%

Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 69 opinions

Resolution rules

New York Fed President John C. Williams stated on September 24, 2026, that it is 'reasonable' to expect another interest rate hike during the year, amid elevated inflation and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Source: www.reuters.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução baseada na decisão oficial do FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) publicada pelo Federal Reserve após reunião realizada até 31 de dezembro de 2026. Fonte: comunicado oficial do Fed em federalreserve.gov.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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