World · Open for opinions
Will the official U.S. jobs report for October 2026 show job creation above 150 thousand?
The August 2026 jobs report surprised positively, frustrating Trump who wanted to justify interest rate cuts. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The August 2026 jobs report surprised positively, frustrating Trump who wanted to justify interest rate cuts. The sequence of employment data is central to U.S. monetary policy.
Source: www.columbian.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base no número de non-farm payrolls (postos de trabalho não agrícolas) divulgado pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) no primeiro relatório de empregos de outubro de 2026. Se o valor for superior a 150.000, resolve 'Sim'. Fonte: bls.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.