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Will the price of oil (WTI) fall before the US midterm elections on November 3, 2026?

President Trump told reporters that he does not expect oil prices to fall before the November 2026 midterm elections, suggesting a… 22 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: November 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 22 opinions

Resolution rules

President Trump told reporters that he does not expect oil prices to fall before the November 2026 midterm elections, suggesting a drop only after the vote. Inflation and the cost of living are the main themes of the election campaign.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o preço do barril de petróleo WTI na data de 31 de outubro de 2026 (fechamento do mercado) estiver abaixo do valor registrado em 10 de setembro de 2026. Fonte: CME Group ou EIA (eia.gov).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will the price of oil (WTI) fall before the US midterm elections on… — 50% Yes · VoxFi