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Will the U.S. unemployment rate exceed 5% by March 2027?
Analysts warn in September 2026 that the Fed's inflation-fighting policy could push the U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: March 8, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Analysts warn in September 2026 that the Fed's inflation-fighting policy could push the U.S. economy into a recession, raising unemployment among the 14.7 million unionized workers and beyond.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Bureau of Labor Statistics (bls.gov) divulgar taxa de desemprego (U-3) igual ou superior a 5,0% em qualquer relatório mensal de emprego referente aos meses de outubro de 2026 a março de 2027. Resolve como 'Não' se todos os relatórios nesse período ficarem abaixo de 5,0%.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.