World · Open for opinions
Will the Strait of Hormuz have its commercial traffic officially suspended until 10/31/2026?
Consider announcements and official confirmations regarding the shipping route between 10/08 and 10/31/2026 following threats in the… 79 opinions, 80% No
- Yes — 20%
- No — 80%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider announcements and official confirmations regarding the shipping route between 10/08 and 10/31/2026 following threats in the Persian Gulf region.
Source: www.theguardian.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 08/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Organização Marítima Internacional (IMO) ou a UKMTO confirmarem o bloqueio total oficial ou a suspensão da navegação de navios comerciais no Estreito de Ormuz até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 80% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 20 points, a wrong one costs about 80.