World · Open for opinions
Will the US budget deficit for fiscal year 2026 (ending in September) exceed the total level of fiscal year 2025?
The US budget deficit surged in July 2026 to its highest level since March 2021, fueling a rise in Treasury yields and global… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: October 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The US budget deficit surged in July 2026 to its highest level since March 2021, fueling a rise in Treasury yields and global concerns about American fiscal sustainability.
Source: www.cnbc.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o Departamento do Tesouro dos EUA reportar déficit fiscal acumulado no ano fiscal de 2026 (out/2025–set/2026) superior ao total registrado no ano fiscal de 2025, conforme o Monthly Treasury Statement publicado em fiscal.treasury.gov. Resolve 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.