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Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates above 3.75% at its next FOMC meeting?

The Fed has kept rates between 3.5% and 3.75% for five consecutive meetings. 25 opinions, 60% No

  • Yes — 40%
  • No — 60%

Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 25 opinions

Resolution rules

The Fed has kept rates between 3.5% and 3.75% for five consecutive meetings. With U.S. inflation accelerating to 3.4% year-over-year in August 2026 and oil prices rising due to conflicts in the Middle East, pressure for another hike is growing.

Source: www.bbc.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base no comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov) após a próxima reunião do FOMC. Se a meta da taxa dos Fed Funds for elevada acima de 3,75%, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.

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