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Will the US national average gas price exceed $5.00 per gallon by December 31, 2026?

On September 21, 2026, the US national average gas price stood at $4.47/gallon, rising amid general inflationary pressures. 45 opinions, 69% No

  • Yes — 31%
  • No — 69%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 45 opinions

Resolution rules

On September 21, 2026, the US national average gas price stood at $4.47/gallon, rising amid general inflationary pressures.

Source: www.nytimes.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com Sim se o preço médio nacional da gasolina nos EUA, divulgado pela EIA (Energy Information Administration, eia.gov) ou pelo AAA (gasprices.aaa.com), atingir ou superar US$ 5,00 por galão em qualquer semana até 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, resolve com Não.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 69% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 31 points, a wrong one costs about 69.

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Will the US national average gas price exceed $5.00 per gallon by… — 69% No · VoxFi