Finance · Open for opinions
Will the accumulated IPCA for 2026 stay within the inflation target defined by the CMN?
IBGE regularly releases the monthly and accumulated IPCA. 89 opinions, 62% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 62%
Deadline: January 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
IBGE regularly releases the monthly and accumulated IPCA. The CMN establishes the inflation target with a tolerance band for each year.
Source: www.gazetadopovo.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base no IPCA acumulado de janeiro a dezembro de 2026 divulgado pelo IBGE (previsão de divulgação em meados de janeiro de 2027). O mercado resolve 'Sim' se o índice ficar dentro do intervalo de tolerância da meta vigente definida pelo CMN, e 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.