World · Open for opinions
Will the Fed keep interest rates steady at the October 2026 meeting?
August PCE data came in below expectations (core at 3.0%), reducing the probability of an October hike to about 35%, according to… 73 opinions, 64% Yes
- Yes — 64%
- No — 36%
Deadline: November 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 73 opinions
Resolution rules
August PCE data came in below expectations (core at 3.0%), reducing the probability of an October hike to about 35%, according to traders cited by The Guardian.
Source: www.reuters.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base no comunicado oficial do FOMC após a reunião de outubro de 2026. Resolve 'Sim' se o Fed mantiver a taxa dos Fed Funds no intervalo vigente em 30/09/2026; 'Não' se houver elevação de qualquer magnitude.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 64% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 36 points, a wrong one costs about 64.