World · Open for opinions
Will an official ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran enter into effect between 09/12 and 10/31/2026?
Consider formal announcements of a pause in hostilities or ceasefire between the two nations within the stipulated period. 27 opinions, 67% No
- Yes — 33%
- No — 67%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 27 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider formal announcements of a pause in hostilities or ceasefire between the two nations within the stipulated period.
Source: previsao.io
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 12/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se os governos dos Estados Unidos e do Irã declararem e iniciarem formalmente um cessar-fogo, trégua oficial ou pausa documentada em hostilidades militares diretas ou indiretas dentro desta janela, conforme confirmação oficial pelo Departamento de Estado dos EUA, governo iraniano ou agências de notícias Reuters, AP e AFP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 67% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 33 points, a wrong one costs about 67.