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Will NATO formally accuse Russia of a direct physical military attack on a member state's territory by 10/31/2026?

Experts point out that Russia is waging a 'hybrid war' in Europe, raising doubts about when NATO will consider these actions as… 40 opinions, 85% No

  • Yes — 15%
  • No — 85%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 40 opinions

Resolution rules

Experts point out that Russia is waging a 'hybrid war' in Europe, raising doubts about when NATO will consider these actions as physical or armed attacks against its members.

Source: g1.globo.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se a OTAN, por meio de um comunicado em seu site oficial (nato.int), atribuir formalmente à Rússia a autoria direta de um ataque militar armado ou bombardeio físico contra o território de qualquer país membro da aliança até 31/10/2026. Ataques exclusivamente cibernéticos sem destruição material direta não contam. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 85% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 15 points, a wrong one costs about 85.

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Will NATO formally accuse Russia of a direct physical military… — 85% No · VoxFi