World · Open for opinions
Will the US personal saving rate fall below 3.5% in November 2026?
The US personal saving rate fell to 3.8% in September 2026 — the lowest level in four years — while real after-tax income declined. 87 opinions, 52% Yes
- Yes — 52%
- No — 48%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
The US personal saving rate fell to 3.8% in September 2026 — the lowest level in four years — while real after-tax income declined. Consumers continue spending, but increasingly supported by drawing down financial reserves.
Source: www.ktvb.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
O mercado resolve com base na taxa de poupança pessoal dos EUA para novembro de 2026, divulgada pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) em dezembro de 2026. Se o valor publicado for inferior a 3,5%, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.