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Will Russia and Ukraine sign an energy ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Consider the signing of an energy infrastructure truce between 10/12 and 10/31 following recent diplomatic proposals. 79 opinions, 75% No

  • Yes — 25%
  • No — 75%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

Consider the signing of an energy infrastructure truce between 10/12 and 10/31 following recent diplomatic proposals.

Source: www.theguardian.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 12/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se os governos da Rússia e da Ucrânia anunciarem conjuntamente um acordo oficial de cessar-fogo direcionado a instalações de energia até 31/10/2026, confirmado por comunicados de ambos os governos ou apuração de Reuters, AP ou AFP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 75% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 25 points, a wrong one costs about 75.

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