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Will the US core PCE be below 3.0% in September 2026?

The August 2026 core PCE came in at 3.0%, well below estimates, according to CNBC. 73 opinions, 55% No

  • Yes — 45%
  • No — 55%

Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 73 opinions

Resolution rules

The August 2026 core PCE came in at 3.0%, well below estimates, according to CNBC. The trajectory in the coming months will be decisive for the Fed's decisions.

Source: www.cnbc.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base no dado oficial do Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) para o índice PCE core (variação anual) referente a setembro de 2026, divulgado em outubro ou novembro de 2026. Resolve 'Sim' se a leitura oficial for estritamente inferior a 3,0%.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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