World · Closed, awaiting result
Will the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates at the October/November 2026 meeting?
The ECB is closely monitoring the worsening French debt crisis and renewed inflationary pressure, with European headline inflation… 87 opinions, 61% No
- Yes — 39%
- No — 61%
Deadline: November 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
The ECB is closely monitoring the worsening French debt crisis and renewed inflationary pressure, with European headline inflation reaching 3.8%. The decision must balance growth support against France's fiscal risks.
Source: realeconomy.rsmus.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o comunicado oficial do BCE após a reunião desta semana indicar redução de pelo menos 25 pontos-base nas taxas de referência. Fonte: comunicado oficial do BCE em ecb.europa.eu.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.