World · Open for opinions
Will New York courts grant a preliminary injunction suspending operations of Kalshi or Polymarket by October 31, 2026?
Considers court decisions in New York issued between 10/09 and 10/31. 79 opinions, 70% No
- Yes — 30%
- No — 70%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers court decisions in New York issued between 10/09 and 10/31.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 09/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Justiça do Estado de Nova York conceder medida liminar suspendendo operações locais da Kalshi ou Polymarket até 31/10/2026, conforme registros judiciais de NY ou cobertura de Bloomberg/Reuters. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.