World · Open for opinions
Will US Treasury yields (10-year Treasury) reach 5.5% or higher by October 31, 2026?
Reuters reported on 09/10/2026 that global bond yields jumped to multi-year highs, amid persistent inflation in the US and Europe… 24 opinions, 58% No
- Yes — 42%
- No — 58%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 24 opinions
Resolution rules
Reuters reported on 09/10/2026 that global bond yields jumped to multi-year highs, amid persistent inflation in the US and Europe driven by the effects of the war with Iran on energy prices.
Source: www.reuters.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o rendimento do Treasury de 10 anos (US10Y) atingir ou superar 5,50% em qualquer pregão até 31/10/2026, conforme dados do U.S. Department of the Treasury (treasury.gov) ou Bloomberg. Resolve como 'Não' caso o rendimento permaneça abaixo desse nível durante todo o período.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.