World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve raise the US benchmark interest rate at any FOMC meeting by December 31, 2026?
US GDP growth in the second quarter was revised upward, while inflation eased slightly in August, generating divergent expectations… 86 opinions, 62% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 62%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 86 opinions
Resolution rules
US GDP growth in the second quarter was revised upward, while inflation eased slightly in August, generating divergent expectations about the Fed's next move. The AI revolution and massive spending on data centers are cited as forces putting upward pressure on inflation.
Source: www.deloitte.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) anunciar aumento na faixa-alvo da taxa dos fed funds em qualquer reunião realizada até 31/12/2026, conforme comunicado oficial publicado no site do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.