World · Open for opinions
Will the Brent oil price exceed US$ 100 per barrel by October 31, 2026?
Global oil prices surged in September 2026 amid escalating conflict between the US and Iran. 21 opinions, 52% Yes
- Yes — 52%
- No — 48%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
Global oil prices surged in September 2026 amid escalating conflict between the US and Iran. The rise in fuel costs is fueling inflation in the US and threatening Republican electoral chances in the November elections.
Source: www.politico.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se o preço de fechamento do contrato futuro de petróleo Brent (referência ICE) atingir ou superar US$ 100,00/barril em qualquer pregão até 31 de outubro de 2026, conforme dados divulgados pela Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) ou Bloomberg. Caso o preço não alcance esse nível até a data, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.