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Will U.S. annual inflation (CPI) in October 2026 be higher than 3.7%?

U.S. 80 opinions, 57% No

  • Yes — 43%
  • No — 57%

Deadline: November 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 80 opinions

Resolution rules

U.S. CPI rose from 3.4% in August to 3.7% in September 2026, driven by rising gasoline prices associated with the conflict with Iran. The upward trajectory raises doubts about whether inflation will remain under pressure the following month.

Source: www.latimes.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reportar variação anual do CPI para outubro de 2026 acima de 3,7% ao ano, conforme relatório oficial publicado em bls.gov em novembro de 2026. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.

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Will U.S. annual inflation (CPI) in October 2026 be higher than 3.7%? — 57% No · VoxFi