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Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in the US at least once by the end of 2026?

Trump pressured the Fed for months to cut rates, calling them 'rocket fuel' for the economy. 22 opinions, 55% No

  • Yes — 45%
  • No — 55%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 22 opinions

Resolution rules

Trump pressured the Fed for months to cut rates, calling them 'rocket fuel' for the economy. However, three Fed directors stated that high inflation should have led to larger increases, and the institution kept rates stable at the July 2026 meeting.

Source: www.usnews.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base no comunicado oficial do FOMC publicado no site do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov). O mercado resolve 'Sim' se o Fed anunciar pelo menos um corte na taxa dos Fed Funds entre 2026-08-02 e 2026-12-31.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in the US at least once… — 55% No · VoxFi