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Will the price of a barrel of Brent crude oil remain above $100 until December 31, 2026?

The conflict in the Middle East and the war with Iran kept oil prices above $100 per barrel, contributing to inflationary pressures… 87 opinions, 57% Yes

  • Yes — 57%
  • No — 43%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions

Resolution rules

The conflict in the Middle East and the war with Iran kept oil prices above $100 per barrel, contributing to inflationary pressures in the US and globally, with an impact on fuel, freight, and energy.

Source: www.pbs.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

O mercado resolve com base no preço de fechamento do petróleo Brent (contrato mais líquido) na última sessão de negociação de dezembro de 2026, conforme divulgado pela Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) ou Reuters/Bloomberg. Se o preço de fechamento for superior a US$ 100/barril, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.

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