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Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?

The Fed raised interest rates by a quarter point in September 2026 and then held them steady in October, even as inflation… 87 opinions, 55% No

  • Yes — 45%
  • No — 55%

Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions

Resolution rules

The Fed raised interest rates by a quarter point in September 2026 and then held them steady in October, even as inflation accelerated beyond the energy sector. Rising inflationary pressure could force another hike in December.

Source: www.washingtonpost.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base na decisão oficial divulgada pelo Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov) após a reunião do FOMC de dezembro de 2026. 'Sim' se houver elevação da taxa dos fed funds; 'Não' se mantida ou reduzida.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at the December 2026… — 55% No · VoxFi