World · Open for opinions
Will the US and Iran formally sign a bilateral peace agreement by October 31, 2026?
Consider official acts between 10/07 and 10/31 following initial mediation by Pakistan to end hostilities [6]. 76 opinions, 55% No
- Yes — 45%
- No — 55%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider official acts between 10/07 and 10/31 following initial mediation by Pakistan to end hostilities [6].
Source: www.reuters.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 07/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se autoridades dos EUA e do Irã assinarem formalmente o acordo de paz bilateral até 31/10/2026, conforme comunicado conjunto do Departamento de Estado dos EUA, governo iraniano ou confirmação via Reuters, AP ou AFP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.