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Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?

With the labor market showing signs of cooling and prospects of a pause in October, the November meeting will be closely monitored. 75 opinions, 72% No

  • Yes — 28%
  • No — 72%

Deadline: December 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 75 opinions

Resolution rules

With the labor market showing signs of cooling and prospects of a pause in October, the November meeting will be closely monitored. Fed minutes and inflation data in the coming weeks will be decisive.

Source: www.wsj.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base na declaração oficial do FOMC publicada pelo Federal Reserve ao final da reunião de novembro de 2026. Se o comunicado indicar alta na taxa dos Fed Funds em relação ao nível vigente após a reunião de outubro, resolve 'Sim'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.

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