World · Open for opinions
Will the PCE index (the Fed's preferred inflation measure) record an annual change of 3% or higher in the September 2026 report?
The PCE is the primary inflation indicator monitored by the Fed. 76 opinions, 61% Yes
- Yes — 61%
- No — 39%
Deadline: November 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
The PCE is the primary inflation indicator monitored by the Fed. With the central bank returning to rate hikes and describing inflation as 'too high for too long', the upcoming PCE data is the most anticipated by the market.
Source: www.investing.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base na divulgação do Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) referente a setembro de 2026. Resolve 'Sim' se a variação anual headline for ≥ 3,0% no comunicado oficial em bea.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 61% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 39 points, a wrong one costs about 61.