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Will the Federal Reserve (Fed) cut the US benchmark interest rate before April 2027?

With inflation still high in the US and trade tariffs pressing prices, the debate over when the Fed will be able to cut interest… 89 opinions, 65% No

  • Yes — 35%
  • No — 65%

Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions

Resolution rules

With inflation still high in the US and trade tariffs pressing prices, the debate over when the Fed will be able to cut interest rates again is central to markets and American voters. About 9 in 10 voters cited the cost of living as a crucial factor in their vote.

Source: www.ctvnews.ca

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o Federal Reserve anunciar redução da meta da taxa dos Fed Funds em qualquer reunião do FOMC até e incluindo a reunião de março de 2027 (resultado divulgado no comunicado oficial do Fed em federalreserve.gov). Resolve como 'Não' caso a taxa permaneça estável ou suba até essa data.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.

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Will the Federal Reserve (Fed) cut the US benchmark interest rate… — 65% No · VoxFi