World · Open for opinions
Will the US and Iran reach an official ceasefire or peace agreement by May 2027?
Conflict between the US and Iran that began in February 2026 remains the main driver of volatility in oil prices and global inflation. 89 opinions, 72% No
- Yes — 28%
- No — 72%
Deadline: May 5, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
Conflict between the US and Iran that began in February 2026 remains the main driver of volatility in oil prices and global inflation. With Democrats taking the majority in the US Congress in January 2027, analysts assess that a negotiated exit is approaching.
Source: www.bruegel.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução confirmada por comunicado oficial do governo dos EUA, do governo iraniano ou da ONU anunciando cessar-fogo ou acordo de paz formal. Fonte primária: comunicado oficial via Casa Branca, Ministério das Relações Exteriores do Irã ou Conselho de Segurança da ONU até 2027-05-05.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.