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Will the U.S. Treasury's long-term bond buyback program announced by Scott Bessent in August 2026 succeed in reducing 30-year Treasury yields by the end of October 2026?
On 08/19/2026, Scott Bessent announced plans for the Treasury to buy back tens of billions of dollars in long-term bonds. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
On 08/19/2026, Scott Bessent announced plans for the Treasury to buy back tens of billions of dollars in long-term bonds. Yields briefly fell but then rose again, according to The Economist of 08/23/2026, which questions whether the strategy will have a lasting effect.
Source: www.economist.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o rendimento do Treasury de 30 anos (fonte: US Treasury/Bloomberg) estiver abaixo do nível registrado em 19/08/2026 (data do anúncio do programa) ao fechamento de 30/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.