World · Open for opinions
Will the US CPI (headline inflation) be below 3.0% per annum in the November 2026 reading?
US CPI came in at 3.7% per year in September 2026, driven by spikes in gas and oil prices resulting from the conflict in Iran. 87 opinions, 89% No
- Yes — 11%
- No — 89%
Deadline: December 18, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
US CPI came in at 3.7% per year in September 2026, driven by spikes in gas and oil prices resulting from the conflict in Iran. The Fed kept interest rates at ~3.9% awaiting inflation's return to the 2% target.
Source: www.youtube.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base na divulgação oficial do Consumer Price Index (CPI) de novembro de 2026 pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS — bls.gov), prevista para meados de dezembro de 2026. Se a variação anual do CPI for inferior a 3,0%, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 89% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 11 points, a wrong one costs about 89.