World · Open for opinions
What will be the annual change in the US core PCE released in October 2026 (for September 2026)?
With US inflation persistently elevated above the Fed's 2% target and demand driven by the AI investment boom… 72 opinions, 50% Between 2.5% and 3.0%
- Below 2.5% — 15%
- Between 2.5% and 3.0% — 50%
- Above 3.0% — 35%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 72 opinions
Resolution rules
With US inflation persistently elevated above the Fed's 2% target and demand driven by the AI investment boom impacting prices, the Fed is closely monitoring core PCE to calibrate future interest rate decisions.
Source: www.wsj.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no dado oficial do PCE core (excluindo alimentos e energia) em variação acumulada em 12 meses, divulgado pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) em outubro de 2026 referente ao mês de setembro de 2026. Fonte: bea.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Between 2.5% and 3.0% has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.