World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at the October 2026 monetary policy meeting?
According to Reuters (Sep/23/2026), traders are betting heavily on a second consecutive tightening of US monetary policy in October,… 62 opinions, 73% Yes
- Yes — 73%
- No — 27%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 62 opinions
Resolution rules
According to Reuters (Sep/23/2026), traders are betting heavily on a second consecutive tightening of US monetary policy in October, driven by rising inflation, surging diesel and oil prices, and the US composite PMI reaching its highest level since July 2021. The new Fed chair...
Source: www.reuters.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) anunciar aumento da taxa dos fed funds na reunião de outubro de 2026, conforme comunicado oficial do Fed (federalreserve.gov). Resolve como 'Não' caso mantenha ou corte a taxa.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 73% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 27 points, a wrong one costs about 73.