World · Open for opinions
Will the S&P 500 index close above 8,000 points for the first time by December 31, 2026?
On 08/21/2026, the S&P 500 was trading at 7,665.97 points according to WSJ, about 4.4% away from the historic 8,000-point mark, amid… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
On 08/21/2026, the S&P 500 was trading at 7,665.97 points according to WSJ, about 4.4% away from the historic 8,000-point mark, amid high volatility and uncertainty about inflation and interest rates in the US.
Source: www.wsj.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o S&P 500 registrar fechamento diário igual ou superior a 8.000 pontos em qualquer sessão da NYSE até 31/12/2026. Fonte: dados oficiais da S&P Dow Jones Indices ou Bloomberg.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.