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Will the price of Brent crude oil exceed $95 per barrel before December 1, 2026?

Conflicts in the Middle East—with at least 18 attacks on vessels in two weeks—and Iran-related pressures have disrupted energy… 80 opinions, 53% Yes

  • Yes — 53%
  • No — 48%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 80 opinions

Resolution rules

Conflicts in the Middle East—with at least 18 attacks on vessels in two weeks—and Iran-related pressures have disrupted energy markets and contributed to rising gasoline prices in the US, pushing American inflation higher than expected.

Source: www.cnn.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o preço de fechamento do contrato futuro de Brent (ICE) atingir ou superar US$ 95,00 por barril em qualquer pregão entre 17 de outubro e 30 de novembro de 2026, conforme dados da ICE Futures Europe ou Bloomberg.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 53% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 47 points, a wrong one costs about 53.

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