World · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC publish a new rule on criminal investigation contracts by November 30, 2026?
Consider official regulatory acts issued between 10/22 and 11/30 [1]. 85 opinions, 60% No
- Yes — 40%
- No — 60%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 85 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider official regulatory acts issued between 10/22 and 11/30 [1].
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 22/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Resolve como 'Sim' se a Commodity Futures participação Commission (CFTC) publicar em seu portal oficial ou no Federal Register nova resolução restritiva sobre contratos de processos criminais até 30/11/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.