World · Open for opinions
Will US PCE inflation in October 2026 be above 3.6% year-over-year?
The September 2026 PCE accelerated to 3.6% annually, up from 3.4% in August, driven by energy and services prices. 87 opinions, 55% Yes
- Yes — 55%
- No — 45%
Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
The September 2026 PCE accelerated to 3.6% annually, up from 3.4% in August, driven by energy and services prices. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged ahead of the mid-term elections, signaling attention to persistent inflation.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base no dado oficial do índice PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) divulgado pelo Departamento de Comércio dos EUA referente a outubro de 2026. Se a variação anual reportada for superior a 3,6%, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.